Frans Nielsen vs Nathan MacKinnon
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Nielsen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 80.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 61.0%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Last 5: Nielsen 4-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
48.2% (849)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
51.0% (151)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
44.7% (47)
+1.0%
On power play, Nielsen has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Nielsen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Nielsen shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Nielsen
MacKinnon
Home
51.1% (595)
51.2% (521)
Away
49.1% (574)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Nielsen
MacKinnon
P1
53.2%
49.9%
P2
48.1%
48.0%
P3
49.3%
47.9%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |