Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.9%). Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 23-18 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 52.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Nielsen
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
23
(41 meetings)
18
23
Nielsen
Bjugstad
Last 10: Nielsen 2-8 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
9
Nielsen
Bjugstad
15 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Nielsen
Bjugstad
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
8
Nielsen
Bjugstad
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
48.6% (6,634)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
55.2% (829)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
44.3% (614)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Bjugstad
Home
49.9% (4,766)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Nielsen
Bjugstad
P1
49.7%
49.0%
P2
47.6%
49.1%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
46.6%
61.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | OT | 02:07 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |