Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Foligno 48.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 62.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 68.9%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 52.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Nielsen
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nielsen
Foligno
Last 5: Nielsen 2-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Nielsen
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Nielsen
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
50.0% (152)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
41.2% (17)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
0.0% (7)
+45.7%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Foligno is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Foligno
Home
51.1% (595)
48.1% (77)
Away
49.1% (574)
46.5% (99)
By Period
Nielsen
Foligno
P1
53.2%
43.1%
P2
48.1%
50.8%
P3
49.3%
48.9%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |