Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.6%). Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Foligno 48.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 64.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 69.2%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 55.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Nielsen
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Nielsen
Foligno
Last 8: Nielsen 3-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Nielsen
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Nielsen
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
48.3% (2,810)
+1.0%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
52.3% (730)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
44.0% (455)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Foligno
Home
49.9% (4,766)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Nielsen
Foligno
P1
49.7%
47.6%
P2
47.6%
50.4%
P3
48.2%
48.3%
OT
46.6%
29.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |