Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 93.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 78.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 88.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Nielsen
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Nielsen
Gaustad
Last 10: Nielsen 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
1
Nielsen
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
8
Nielsen
Gaustad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
6
Nielsen
Gaustad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
58.2% (4,334)
-8.9%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
65.4% (188)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
54.8% (1,290)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Gaustad
Home
49.9% (4,766)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Nielsen
Gaustad
P1
49.7%
58.2%
P2
47.6%
56.4%
P3
48.2%
58.3%
OT
46.6%
66.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |