Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.5%). Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Nash 49.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 55.8%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 75.2%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 53.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Nielsen
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nielsen
Nash
Last 6: Nielsen 4-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
50.7% (341)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
58.3% (24)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
24.0% (25)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Nielsen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Nielsen shoots left. Nash is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Nash
Home
51.1% (595)
50.0% (200)
Away
49.1% (574)
48.9% (190)
By Period
Nielsen
Nash
P1
53.2%
47.1%
P2
48.1%
60.6%
P3
49.3%
38.1%
OT
42.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 08:56 | Neutral | Riley Nash |