Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.5%). Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Nash 48.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 24-24 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 50.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 52.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 50.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Nielsen
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
24
(48 meetings)
24
24
Nielsen
Nash
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
8
10
Nielsen
Nash
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
5
9
Nielsen
Nash
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
11
5
Nielsen
Nash
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
48.7% (4,621)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
51.0% (249)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
44.9% (550)
-3.2%
On power play, Nielsen has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Nash
Home
49.9% (4,766)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Nielsen
Nash
P1
49.7%
49.0%
P2
47.6%
47.9%
P3
48.2%
48.0%
OT
46.6%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |