Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Nielsen wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Nash 48.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 54.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 54.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 54.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Nielsen
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nielsen
Nash
Last 6: Nielsen 4-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nielsen
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
47.7% (801)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
51.2% (41)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
52.3% (107)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Nielsen is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (445).
Nielsen shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Nash
Home
50.4% (508)
50.1% (467)
Away
42.6% (533)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Nielsen
Nash
P1
48.1%
52.1%
P2
44.6%
44.9%
P3
46.8%
47.3%
OT
33.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Riley Nash |