Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Koivu 51.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 67.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 58.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 61.4%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Nielsen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Nielsen
Koivu
Last 10: Nielsen 2-8 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Nielsen
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Nielsen
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Nielsen
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
51.9% (3,221)
-2.6%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
59.3% (437)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
48.0% (764)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Koivu
Home
49.9% (4,766)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Nielsen
Koivu
P1
49.7%
51.1%
P2
47.6%
52.6%
P3
48.2%
51.8%
OT
46.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |