Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.1%). Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.9% vs Steel 49.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 50.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 50.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 53.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Nielsen
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nielsen
Steel
Last 5: Nielsen 3-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Nielsen
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (759)
49.5% (204)
+0.2%
Power Play
48.1% (106)
57.1% (7)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (58)
33.3% (9)
+4.6%
On power play, Steel has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nielsen shoots left. Steel is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Steel
Home
49.8% (422)
53.2% (77)
Away
47.9% (501)
46.9% (143)
By Period
Nielsen
Steel
P1
48.8%
45.5%
P2
48.7%
49.4%
P3
49.0%
52.5%
OT
43.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |