Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 64.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 56.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Nielsen
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Nielsen
Steel
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Nielsen
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
7
2
Nielsen
Steel
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
50.6% (2,876)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
62.6% (179)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
37.4% (254)
+4.3%
On power play, Steel has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Steel
Home
49.9% (4,766)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Nielsen
Steel
P1
49.7%
51.9%
P2
47.6%
49.5%
P3
48.2%
49.6%
OT
46.6%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |