Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nielsen wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.8% vs Steel 50.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 81.8%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 50.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 61.1%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Nielsen
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nielsen
Steel
Last 7: Nielsen 5-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Nielsen
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
1
Nielsen
Steel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (409)
49.7% (638)
-3.2%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
60.3% (63)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
42.4% (33)
-0.7%
On power play, Steel has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nielsen is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nielsen shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Steel
Home
44.7% (264)
47.3% (349)
Away
47.9% (192)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Nielsen
Steel
P1
48.4%
51.2%
P2
49.7%
49.8%
P3
38.0%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |