Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Crosby 52.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 91.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 63.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 78.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Nielsen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Nielsen
Crosby
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
Nielsen
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
7
0
Nielsen
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
1
Nielsen
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
50.9% (1,345)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
59.5% (439)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
44.7% (103)
-3.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nielsen is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Nielsen shoots left. Crosby is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,180).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Crosby
Home
51.0% (510)
53.9% (941)
Away
47.7% (574)
51.2% (946)
By Period
Nielsen
Crosby
P1
53.0%
49.3%
P2
45.4%
54.5%
P3
49.5%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 3, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |