Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 60 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 96-82 in 178 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 83.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 67.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Nielsen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
82
-
96
(178 meetings)
82
96
Nielsen
Crosby
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
16
44
Nielsen
Crosby
60 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
42
17
Nielsen
Crosby
59 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
24
35
Nielsen
Crosby
59 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
52.8% (17,990)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
57.4% (4,733)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
47.1% (765)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Crosby
Home
49.9% (4,766)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Nielsen
Crosby
P1
49.7%
53.6%
P2
47.6%
53.9%
P3
48.2%
53.3%
OT
46.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |