Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Connolly 47.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 53.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 73.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 63.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Nielsen
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Nielsen
Connolly
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Connolly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
6
1
Nielsen
Connolly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
4
Nielsen
Connolly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
47.4% (1,307)
+1.9%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
50.2% (251)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
41.9% (186)
-0.2%
On power play, Nielsen has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Connolly
Home
49.9% (4,766)
48.5% (870)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Nielsen
Connolly
P1
49.7%
47.4%
P2
47.6%
47.7%
P3
48.2%
47.0%
OT
46.6%
37.8%
Final 5 min
48.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 13, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |