Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Smith 46.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 54.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 52.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 52.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Nielsen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Nielsen
Smith
Last 8: Nielsen 4-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nielsen
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Nielsen
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
44.7% (244)
+6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
50.0% (8)
-8.9%
On power play, Nielsen has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Nielsen is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Nielsen shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Smith
Home
51.0% (510)
51.3% (158)
Away
47.7% (574)
34.0% (100)
By Period
Nielsen
Smith
P1
53.0%
37.2%
P2
45.4%
53.9%
P3
49.5%
40.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |