Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Brouwer 50.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 63.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 57.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 51.5%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Nielsen
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Nielsen
Brouwer
Last 8: Nielsen 5-3 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
2
Nielsen
Brouwer
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
50.8% (122)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
52.3% (193)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
49.6% (121)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Brouwer has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Nielsen is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Nielsen shoots left. Brouwer is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Brouwer
Home
51.0% (510)
56.6% (221)
Away
47.7% (574)
45.6% (215)
By Period
Nielsen
Brouwer
P1
53.0%
54.6%
P2
45.4%
48.0%
P3
49.5%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |