Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Brouwer 50.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Brouwer 61.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 60.3%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 53.0%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Nielsen
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Nielsen
Brouwer
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
2
5
Nielsen
Brouwer
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
11
2
Nielsen
Brouwer
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
2
Nielsen
Brouwer
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
50.3% (702)
-1.0%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
53.7% (551)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
46.6% (412)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Brouwer has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Brouwer
Home
49.9% (4,766)
53.5% (854)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Nielsen
Brouwer
P1
49.7%
51.4%
P2
47.6%
49.3%
P3
48.2%
51.2%
OT
46.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |