Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 53.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 53.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.7%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Nielsen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Nielsen
Seguin
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
6
3
Nielsen
Seguin
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
8
Nielsen
Seguin
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
6
5
Nielsen
Seguin
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
53.7% (8,071)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
55.9% (810)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
49.3% (762)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Seguin
Home
49.9% (4,766)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Nielsen
Seguin
P1
49.7%
52.8%
P2
47.6%
53.3%
P3
48.2%
54.7%
OT
46.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2020 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |