Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nielsen wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.8% vs Jost 38.0% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 83.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 91.4%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 82.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Nielsen
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Nielsen
Jost
Last 5: Nielsen 5-0 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
0
Nielsen
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (409)
32.7% (226)
+13.8%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
36.0% (25)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
50.0% (4)
-8.3%
On even strength, Nielsen has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nielsen is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nielsen shoots left. Jost is 31.8% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Jost
Home
44.7% (264)
34.7% (124)
Away
47.9% (192)
32.1% (131)
By Period
Nielsen
Jost
P1
48.4%
29.5%
P2
49.7%
33.0%
P3
38.0%
37.8%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
21.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |