Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Jost 40.5% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 91.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 92.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 88.4%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Nielsen
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Nielsen
Jost
Last 5: Nielsen 5-0 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
0
Nielsen
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
41.0% (2,014)
+8.3%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
34.2% (73)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
35.3% (255)
+6.4%
On power play, Nielsen has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Jost
Home
49.9% (4,766)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Nielsen
Jost
P1
49.7%
38.5%
P2
47.6%
41.2%
P3
48.2%
40.9%
OT
46.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |