Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Rask 54.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 91.4%
Defensive zone
Rask 58.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 83.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Nielsen
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Nielsen
Rask
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
2
3
Nielsen
Rask
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
1
Nielsen
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
54.5% (628)
-6.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
58.0% (88)
-4.8%
On even strength, Rask has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Nielsen is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Nielsen shoots left. Rask is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Rask
Home
50.4% (508)
58.0% (355)
Away
42.6% (533)
51.8% (361)
By Period
Nielsen
Rask
P1
48.1%
54.5%
P2
44.6%
56.3%
P3
46.8%
54.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |