Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Rask 50.1% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 20-19 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 68.9%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 67.9%
Neutral zone
Rask 55.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Nielsen
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
19
(39 meetings)
20
19
Nielsen
Rask
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
5
9
Nielsen
Rask
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
10
2
Nielsen
Rask
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
5
8
Nielsen
Rask
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
50.0% (4,428)
-0.7%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
54.3% (363)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
35.2% (54)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Rask
Home
49.9% (4,766)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Nielsen
Rask
P1
49.7%
50.7%
P2
47.6%
48.9%
P3
48.2%
50.7%
OT
46.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |