Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kindel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Minten 48.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 66.8%
Defensive zone
Minten 68.9%
Neutral zone
Minten 73.4%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Kindel
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kindel
Minten
Last 5: Kindel 4-1 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
1
Kindel
Minten
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
0
Kindel
Minten
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
49.6% (603)
-6.5%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
45.8% (48)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
32.6% (43)
+27.4%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Minten is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Kindel
Minten
Home
46.1% (267)
51.6% (322)
Away
42.9% (273)
45.4% (372)
By Period
Kindel
Minten
P1
41.5%
44.9%
P2
45.8%
46.6%
P3
42.6%
52.1%
OT
91.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |