Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs McBain 50.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 56.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 76.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 66.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Minten
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Minten
McBain
Last 6: Minten 5-1 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
3
1
Minten
McBain
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
52.1% (545)
-2.5%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
57.1% (14)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
37.0% (46)
-4.4%
On power play, McBain has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Minten shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Minten
McBain
Home
51.6% (322)
52.2% (289)
Away
45.4% (372)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Minten
McBain
P1
44.9%
52.6%
P2
46.6%
53.6%
P3
52.1%
47.1%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |