Fraser Minten vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Ek 48.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 52.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 58.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 54.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Minten
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Minten
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
47.2% (815)
+2.4%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
53.8% (266)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
47.8% (180)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Minten shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Minten
Ek
Home
51.6% (322)
49.9% (693)
Away
45.4% (372)
47.2% (568)
By Period
Minten
Ek
P1
44.9%
46.2%
P2
46.6%
52.6%
P3
52.1%
46.5%
OT
83.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |