Fraser Minten vs Jonny Brodzinski
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonny Brodzinski holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Minten wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brodzinski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Brodzinski 51.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 56.0%
Defensive zone
Minten 60.8%
Neutral zone
Minten 62.9%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Minten
Brodzinski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Minten
Brodzinski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Brodzinski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
0
1
Minten
Brodzinski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Brodzinski
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
54.7% (53)
-5.1%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
66.7% (3)
-20.9%
On power play, Brodzinski has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodzinski shoots right. Minten is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Minten shoots left. Brodzinski is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Minten
Brodzinski
Home
51.6% (322)
46.7% (30)
Away
45.4% (372)
65.4% (26)
By Period
Minten
Brodzinski
P1
44.9%
60.0%
P2
46.6%
52.2%
P3
52.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |