Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 76.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 85.8%
14.2%
85.8%
Minten
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Minten
Staal
Last 9: Minten 8-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
3
0
Minten
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Minten
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
5
0
Minten
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
55.9% (14,620)
-7.1%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
62.7% (1,745)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
48.0% (2,896)
-14.0%
On power play, Staal has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Minten
Staal
Home
51.2% (449)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
44.4% (450)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Minten
Staal
P1
44.0%
55.2%
P2
46.4%
55.9%
P3
52.1%
54.9%
OT
83.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
44.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |