Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Ellis 46.8% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Minten 59.7%
Defensive zone
Ellis 50.4%
Neutral zone
Ellis 52.5%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Minten
Ellis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
47.3% (607)
+1.5%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
28.6% (7)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
42.1% (95)
-8.1%
On power play, Minten has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Minten
Ellis
Home
51.2% (449)
48.5% (303)
Away
44.4% (450)
44.8% (406)
By Period
Minten
Ellis
P1
44.0%
50.0%
P2
46.4%
46.2%
P3
52.1%
41.3%
OT
83.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%