Fraser Minten vs Michael Rasmussen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 50.4%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 57.9%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 50.8%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Minten
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Minten
Rasmussen
Last 5: Minten 1-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
4
Minten
Rasmussen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
46.8% (248)
+2.8%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
62.5% (8)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
43.8% (16)
-11.2%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Minten shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Minten
Rasmussen
Home
51.6% (322)
50.0% (98)
Away
45.4% (372)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Minten
Rasmussen
P1
44.9%
40.2%
P2
46.6%
55.8%
P3
52.1%
43.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |