Fraser Minten vs Michael Rasmussen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.2%). Look for Rasmussen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Rasmussen 48.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 55.9%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 52.1%
Neutral zone
Minten 50.8%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Minten
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Minten
Rasmussen
Last 5: Minten 1-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
4
Minten
Rasmussen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
48.3% (1,870)
+0.5%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
53.9% (154)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
41.5% (147)
-7.5%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Minten
Rasmussen
Home
51.2% (449)
48.4% (1,087)
Away
44.4% (450)
48.1% (1,084)
By Period
Minten
Rasmussen
P1
44.0%
47.8%
P2
46.4%
49.5%
P3
52.1%
47.0%
OT
83.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |