Fraser Minten vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 49.2%). Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Dubois 49.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 50.4%
Defensive zone
Dubois 50.7%
Neutral zone
Dubois 52.0%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Minten
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Minten
Dubois
Last 9: Minten 5-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Minten
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
46.2% (225)
+3.4%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
66.7% (27)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
75.0% (8)
-42.4%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Minten shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Minten
Dubois
Home
51.6% (322)
46.6% (163)
Away
45.4% (372)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Minten
Dubois
P1
44.9%
45.0%
P2
46.6%
52.3%
P3
52.1%
50.5%
OT
83.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |