Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.5%). Minten wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Nash 48.5% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Minten 57.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 56.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 52.5%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Minten
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
48.7% (4,621)
+0.1%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
51.0% (249)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
44.9% (550)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Minten is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Minten shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Minten
Nash
Home
51.2% (449)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
44.4% (450)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Minten
Nash
P1
44.0%
49.0%
P2
46.4%
47.9%
P3
52.1%
48.0%
OT
83.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%