Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Couturier 53.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 77.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 59.3%
Neutral zone
Minten 62.9%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Minten
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Minten
Couturier
Last 8: Minten 3-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Minten
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
1
Minten
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Minten
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
53.4% (758)
-3.8%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
62.9% (70)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
50.7% (227)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Minten shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Minten
Couturier
Home
51.6% (322)
50.7% (517)
Away
45.4% (372)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Minten
Couturier
P1
44.9%
55.2%
P2
46.6%
53.0%
P3
52.1%
53.3%
OT
83.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |