Fraser Minten vs Sean Couturier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Couturier 52.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 64.9%
Defensive zone
Minten 60.1%
Neutral zone
Minten 62.0%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Minten
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Minten
Couturier
Last 8: Minten 3-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Minten
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
1
Minten
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Minten
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
52.5% (11,063)
-3.7%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
59.7% (1,280)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
48.5% (1,816)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Minten
Couturier
Home
51.2% (449)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
44.4% (450)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Minten
Couturier
P1
44.0%
52.5%
P2
46.4%
52.6%
P3
52.1%
52.9%
OT
83.3%
49.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |