Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Minten wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Pinto 50.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 53.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 80.1%
Neutral zone
Pinto 64.8%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Minten
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Minten
Pinto
Last 5: Minten 4-1 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
4
1
Minten
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
50.6% (2,716)
-1.8%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
54.4% (90)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
44.9% (234)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Minten is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Minten shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Minten
Pinto
Home
51.2% (449)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
44.4% (450)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Minten
Pinto
P1
44.0%
48.3%
P2
46.4%
51.7%
P3
52.1%
50.9%
OT
83.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |