Fraser Minten vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Minten wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 77.6%
Defensive zone
Minten 81.9%
Neutral zone
Minten 77.3%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Minten
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Minten
Trocheck
Last 5: Minten 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Minten
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Minten
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
57.8% (626)
-8.2%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
63.6% (151)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
44.0% (141)
-11.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Minten is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Minten shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Minten
Trocheck
Home
51.6% (322)
54.4% (390)
Away
45.4% (372)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Minten
Trocheck
P1
44.9%
56.4%
P2
46.6%
58.7%
P3
52.1%
54.8%
OT
83.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |