Fraser Minten vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.2%). Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 56.6%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 56.7%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 50.7%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Minten
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Minten
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Minten 4-2 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Minten
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
2
1
Minten
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
48.5% (612)
+0.3%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
28.6% (7)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
46.8% (62)
-12.8%
On power play, Minten has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Ostapchuk is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Minten
Ostapchuk
Home
51.2% (449)
48.6% (319)
Away
44.4% (450)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Minten
Ostapchuk
P1
44.0%
48.2%
P2
46.4%
45.8%
P3
52.1%
50.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |