Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Hamilton wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hamilton 46.0% vs Vitale 48.5% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hamilton 71.8%
Defensive zone
Vitale 77.5%
Neutral zone
Hamilton 53.0%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Hamilton
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hamilton
Vitale
Last 7: Hamilton 3-4 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hamilton
1
0
Hamilton
Vitale
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
2
Hamilton
Vitale
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hamilton
Vitale
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hamilton
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (57)
50.8% (539)
-10.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
40.0% (5)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.3% (189)
-41.3%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Hamilton is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Hamilton shoots right. Vitale is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Hamilton
Vitale
Home
37.5% (16)
46.9% (371)
Away
40.0% (45)
49.7% (362)
By Period
Hamilton
Vitale
P1
36.8%
52.9%
P2
38.1%
44.2%
P3
42.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hamilton
48.0%▼
52.0%
39.3%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Freddie Hamilton |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Freddie Hamilton |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Freddie Hamilton |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |