Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Hamilton wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hamilton 48.8% vs Vitale 54.6% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hamilton 54.5%
Defensive zone
Vitale 64.7%
Neutral zone
Hamilton 62.3%
Result
Freddie Hamilton favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Hamilton
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hamilton
Vitale
Last 7: Hamilton 3-4 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hamilton
1
0
Hamilton
Vitale
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
2
Hamilton
Vitale
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hamilton
Vitale
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hamilton
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (300)
55.9% (1,771)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
76.0% (25)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
47.1% (297)
-5.4%
On power play, Vitale has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Hamilton is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Hamilton shoots right. Vitale is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (668).
Home / Away
Hamilton
Vitale
Home
49.7% (143)
56.1% (1,050)
Away
47.4% (173)
53.5% (1,048)
By Period
Hamilton
Vitale
P1
46.5%
52.9%
P2
52.5%
53.8%
P3
46.5%
57.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hamilton
48.0%▼
52.0%
48.4%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Freddie Hamilton |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Freddie Hamilton |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Freddie Hamilton |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |