Frederick Gaudreau vs J.T. Compher
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 44.1% vs Compher 50.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 60.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 81.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 65.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Gaudreau
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Gaudreau
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Gaudreau
Compher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Gaudreau
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (315)
52.9% (582)
-6.9%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
38.5% (13)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (85)
36.4% (66)
-4.6%
On even strength, Compher has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Gaudreau is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Gaudreau shoots right. Compher is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Compher
Home
42.9% (217)
52.2% (360)
Away
42.6% (195)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Gaudreau
Compher
P1
44.2%
55.4%
P2
44.4%
49.8%
P3
39.4%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.7%
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |