Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudreau wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.7% vs Beagle 55.5% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 81.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 82.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 53.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Gaudreau
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Gaudreau
Beagle
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau
Beagle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Gaudreau
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (320)
57.7% (572)
-9.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
28.6% (7)
+4.7%
On even strength, Beagle has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Gaudreau shoots right. Beagle is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Beagle
Home
46.4% (151)
58.2% (378)
Away
50.0% (172)
54.2% (380)
By Period
Gaudreau
Beagle
P1
45.6%
58.8%
P2
48.0%
51.9%
P3
52.3%
58.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |