Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Beagle 55.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 79.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 50.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 66.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Gaudreau
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gaudreau
Beagle
Last 7: Gaudreau 2-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Gaudreau
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Gaudreau
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
57.2% (353)
-8.1%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
87.5% (16)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
51.6% (95)
-3.0%
On power play, Beagle has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Gaudreau shoots right. Beagle is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Beagle
Home
53.0% (483)
62.0% (200)
Away
46.7% (439)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Gaudreau
Beagle
P1
53.5%
55.8%
P2
47.5%
60.1%
P3
49.5%
54.5%
OT
37.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.4%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |