Frederick Gaudreau vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Pageau 58.7% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 68.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 66.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 69.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Gaudreau
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Gaudreau
Pageau
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Gaudreau
Pageau
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
Pageau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Gaudreau
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
59.6% (711)
-10.4%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
64.0% (114)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
56.4% (163)
-10.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Gaudreau is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Gaudreau shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Pageau
Home
47.1% (546)
59.3% (506)
Away
49.4% (551)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Gaudreau
Pageau
P1
46.8%
56.8%
P2
46.8%
64.4%
P3
51.1%
56.9%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |