Frederick Gaudreau vs Josh Norris
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Norris 49.7% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 52.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 90.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 73.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Gaudreau
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gaudreau
Norris
Last 5: Gaudreau 1-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
4
Gaudreau
Norris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
50.0% (356)
-5.0%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
48.7% (76)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
42.9% (7)
-5.3%
On power play, Norris has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Norris
Home
42.6% (277)
47.2% (193)
Away
42.9% (259)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Gaudreau
Norris
P1
43.8%
53.8%
P2
44.8%
48.2%
P3
39.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |