Frederick Gaudreau vs Josh Norris
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Norris 53.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 50.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 51.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Gaudreau
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Gaudreau
Norris
Last 8: Gaudreau 4-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Gaudreau
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
53.6% (560)
-4.4%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
56.0% (109)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
53.1% (98)
-7.1%
On power play, Norris has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Norris
Home
47.1% (546)
53.6% (373)
Away
49.4% (551)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Gaudreau
Norris
P1
46.8%
61.8%
P2
46.8%
51.7%
P3
51.1%
49.8%
OT
40.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Josh Norris |