Frederick Gaudreau vs Leon Draisaitl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 91.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 87.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 59.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
55.9% (835)
-10.9%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
61.8% (228)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
50.0% (40)
-12.4%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
Home
42.6% (277)
55.1% (508)
Away
42.9% (259)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
P1
43.8%
55.8%
P2
44.8%
55.7%
P3
39.2%
59.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |