Frederick Gaudreau vs Leon Draisaitl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 92.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 54.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 72.1%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
13
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
12
2
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
52.9% (10,240)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
55.7% (2,827)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
51.2% (977)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
Home
49.2% (2,437)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Gaudreau
Draisaitl
P1
49.7%
52.7%
P2
47.3%
53.6%
P3
49.1%
53.4%
OT
36.7%
57.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |