Frederick Gaudreau vs Marco Kasper
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Kasper 49.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 75.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 78.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Gaudreau
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Gaudreau
Kasper
Last 8: Gaudreau 4-4 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
0
1
Gaudreau
Kasper
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
Kasper
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Kasper
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
51.1% (350)
-6.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
33.3% (9)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
31.6% (19)
+6.0%
On even strength, Kasper has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kasper is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kasper
Home
42.6% (277)
51.1% (184)
Away
42.9% (259)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kasper
P1
43.8%
53.8%
P2
44.8%
52.2%
P3
39.2%
42.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |