Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Granlund 48.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 92.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 51.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 79.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Gaudreau
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Gaudreau
Granlund
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
4
Gaudreau
Granlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
0
Gaudreau
Granlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
48.7% (446)
-3.7%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
56.6% (99)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
31.1% (61)
+6.5%
On power play, Granlund has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Granlund
Home
42.6% (277)
53.3% (255)
Away
42.9% (259)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Gaudreau
Granlund
P1
43.8%
51.3%
P2
44.8%
48.8%
P3
39.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |