Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 44.1% vs Granlund 48.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 91.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 51.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 79.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Gaudreau
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gaudreau
Granlund
Last 7: Gaudreau 5-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Gaudreau
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
0
Gaudreau
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (315)
50.0% (356)
-4.0%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
51.9% (79)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (85)
29.4% (51)
+2.4%
On power play, Granlund has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Gaudreau shoots right. Granlund is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Granlund
Home
42.9% (217)
57.0% (179)
Away
42.6% (195)
43.0% (307)
By Period
Gaudreau
Granlund
P1
44.2%
53.9%
P2
44.4%
48.2%
P3
39.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.7%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |